Political prognosticator and analytics guru Nate Silver rose to national fame by correctly predicting elections. But in 2016, Silver joined almost every other analyst by projecting a victory for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump. Was Silver’s good luck over? Cognitive Bias and the “Failure” of Data Actually, Silver’s estimate for the 2016 election was closer to correct … Continue reading The Rise and Fall of Nate Silver: A Lesson in Risk Communication